"The market of technology stocks is supported by policies, and the policies frequently mention the self-reliance and self-improvement of science and technology, such as artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, etc. This kind of concept plate is mainly the participation of hot money and new retail investors, focusing on themes and tracks. Long-term expectations are hard to be falsified in the short term. Industries such as artificial intelligence are indeed in a stage of rapid development. Once hot money has a money-making effect, retail investors are easy to chase after it and push the stock price up. " Zhao Xi told reporters.Compared with small and medium-sized stocks, large-cap stocks have always been known for their stable operating performance and higher dividends. According to the analysis and research report of Guotai Junan's third quarterly report, the performance of all A-shares declined in the first three quarters. In the third quarter, the net profit growth rate of all A-share non-financial and non-petroleum and petrochemical listed companies (hereinafter referred to as "all A-shares and two non-shares") was -10.8% year-on-year, which was further enlarged compared with the second quarter of 2024, with a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of -8.0%, and negative growth for seven consecutive quarters. In terms of revenue, the cumulative growth rate of all A companies in the third quarter of 2024 was -1.6%, and it was -0.7% in the second quarter of 2024, with an enlarged decline.The "disappearing" low-priced stocks also reflect the style that funds are keen on "speculating small". The "roller coaster of low-priced stocks during the year: the number of stocks in half a year is reduced by 90%, and the liquidity drives the stocks to soar" published by CBN on December 8 pointed out that the number of A-share low-priced stocks (below 2 yuan) has been reduced by about 90% in the past six months, and the hot money has used the concept to speculate on related targets, pushing the low-priced stocks to rise sharply. Sunrise Oriental (603366.SH), Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889.SH), Leo (002131.SZ), *ST Tongzhou (002205.SZ), Hainengda (002583.SZ), and Doushen Education (300010.SZ). As of December 9, there were 21 A-share low-priced stocks, one less than the previous trading day.
Small-cap style clearly outperforms.When will the market style switch?According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.
From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.[Robots are hot this year! 】
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13